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Primrose Schools franchise failure rate and unit turnover: what SBA loan defaults and the FDD show

Primrose Schools franchisees have taken 661 SBA 7(a) and 504 loans since fiscal 2010, totalling $1.30 billion disbursed. This page reports how many of those loans failed, how Primrose Schools compares with every other franchise system in the SBA files, and where the failures were. Category: Child care / education. Data as of June 30, 2026.

Low
0.4%
of resolved SBA loans approved FY2010-2019 ended in charge-off (1 of 235)
All franchise-coded SBA loans9.5%
All SBA 7(a) and 504 loans7.6%
Primrose Schools vs franchise-wide0.04x

Charge-offs well below the franchise-wide rate. Ranks at the 12th percentile of 104 brands with 30 or more resolved loans (higher percentile = more charge-offs).

  • 1 of 235 resolved loans approved FY2010-2019 were charged off (0.4%), versus 9.5% for all franchise-coded SBA loans in the same cohorts (0.04x).
  • Dollars charged off equal 0.1% of dollars disbursed in those cohorts, versus 2.7% franchise-wide.
  • 0 charge-offs so far among 161 loans disbursed since FY2022; most of these loans are still open, so this figure will rise.

Computed from SBA loan records as of June 30, 2026. Verdict date: September 3, 2026.

Primrose Schools SBA lending at a glance

661SBA loans approved since FY2010
$1.30 billionDollars disbursed since FY2010
1Loans charged off (since FY2010)
$1.2 millionDollars charged off
313Loans still open
$2.0 millionMedian loan size, FY2022-2026
300 moMedian term
37States with loans
63Distinct lenders

Program split since FY2010: 7(a): 449 loans, 504: 212 loans. Loan status as published by SBA: paid in full 265, charged off 1, still open 313, cancelled before disbursement 44.

Charge-off rate by approval year

0%4%7%11%15%FY2010: 0.0% of 15 resolved loans charged offn=152010FY2011: 0.0% of 22 resolved loans charged off2011FY2012: 4.3% of 23 resolved loans charged off2012FY2013: 0.0% of 22 resolved loans charged off2013FY2014: 0.0% of 26 resolved loans charged off2014FY2015: 0.0% of 36 resolved loans charged off2015FY2016: 0.0% of 30 resolved loans charged off2016FY2017: 0.0% of 26 resolved loans charged off2017FY2018: 0.0% of 17 resolved loans charged offn=172018FY2019: 0.0% of 18 resolved loans charged offn=182019Approval fiscal year (loans approved FY2010-2019; later cohorts are too young to rate)
Primrose SchoolsAll franchise-coded SBA loans
Share of resolved loans (paid in full or charged off) that ended in charge-off, by the fiscal year the loan was approved. Bars with n under 20 are shown but not reliable.

How much SBA lending Primrose Schools attracts each year

03366FY2010: 16 loans approved, $16.1 million10FY2011: 24 loans approved, $48.0 million11FY2012: 31 loans approved, $48.1 million12FY2013: 30 loans approved, $57.4 million13FY2014: 34 loans approved, $73.4 million14FY2015: 48 loans approved, $146.2 million15FY2016: 43 loans approved, $120.2 million16FY2017: 46 loans approved, $96.7 million17FY2018: 43 loans approved, $118.6 million18FY2019: 39 loans approved, $93.2 million19FY2020: 42 loans approved, $81.8 million20FY2021: 57 loans approved, $119.3 million21FY2022: 48 loans approved, $105.0 million22FY2023: 42 loans approved, $88.0 million23FY2024: 32 loans approved, $55.4 million24FY2025: 44 loans approved, $75.9 million25FY2026: 42 loans approved, $103.2 million26Approval fiscal year (FY2026 is partial: through June 30, 2026)
SBA 7(a) and 504 loans approved per fiscal year for Primrose Schools franchisees, all statuses including cancelled.

Unit turnover from the franchise disclosure document

Franchised Primrose Schools outlets went from 483 at the start of 2023 to 557 at the end of 2025, a net change of +74 (15.3%). Over those 3 years franchisees opened 80 outlets and 6 left the system through termination, non-renewal, reacquisition by the franchisor, or ceasing operations for other reasons, a cumulative exit rate of 1.2% of the starting base. This is the franchisor's own count of units, covering every franchised outlet, not only SBA-financed ones, so it complements the loan data above.

YearFranchised at startOpenedLeft the systemNet changeNet change %Exit rateFranchised at end
2023483231+224.6%0.2%505
2024505211+204.0%0.2%525
2025525364+326.1%0.8%557

Source: Item 20 of the PRIMROSE SCHOOL FRANCHISING SPE, LLC franchise disclosure document registered with the Wisconsin Department of Financial Institutions, effective 4/24/2026, file 641260, filing record. Table 1 (systemwide outlet summary) and Table 3 (status of franchised outlets); figures are reproduced only where the published rows reconcile arithmetically.

Where Primrose Schools SBA loans are, and where they failed

Top 8 of 37 states by loan count since FY2010. The top three states hold 37% of the loans.

Project stateLoansCharged offCharge-off rate (resolved)Approved
TX12400.0%$315.0 million
GA6413.0%$136.6 million
FL5900.0%$117.2 million
CO4000.0%$90.5 million
NC3900.0%$94.1 million
OH3100.0%$57.1 million
NJ2700.0%$60.5 million
MN2500.0%$46.1 million

Recent loans, FY2022 to FY2026

208 loans approved since FY2022, $322.0 million disbursed, 0 charged off so far. These loans are young; the rate here will rise as they age and should not be compared with the matured cohorts above.

Among loans that were charged off since FY2010, the median time from approval to charge-off was 35 months, and 100% failed within three years (1 dated charge-offs).

The full Primrose Schools SBA loan report

Everything on this page plus the parts that let you check the numbers yourself: the loan-level file, the lender-by-lender record, and the largest charge-offs by name.

Get the Primrose Schools report, $49   See a sample report

Instant download after payment7-day refund if the file is not as describedNo account neededData as of June 30, 2026

Questions this page answers

What does the Primrose Schools franchise failure rate on this page measure?

The share of SBA 7(a) and 504 loans to Primrose Schools franchisees that were charged off, meaning SBA wrote the loan off as a loss after default. It measures loan failure, which is the closest public, brand-level proxy for business failure: a franchisee who repays the loan generally stayed in business, and a charge-off almost always follows a closure or sale at a loss.

Is a charge-off the same as a Primrose Schools location closing?

No. A charge-off means the lender and SBA took a loss on the loan. Most charge-offs involve a closed or sold unit, but a unit can close with the loan repaid, and a loan can be charged off while the unit changes hands. Treat the rate as a screening signal, not a census of closures.

Does this cover every Primrose Schools location?

No. It covers only units financed with an SBA 7(a) or 504 loan that the lender coded to the Primrose Schools franchise. Units financed with cash, conventional bank loans, or franchisor financing are not in the data. For Primrose Schools that is 874 loans since FY1992.

Why compare only loans approved FY2010 to FY2019?

Loans need years to resolve. A loan approved in 2023 has mostly not had time to fail or be repaid, so including it would understate the rate. Cohorts approved FY2010-2019 have had at least six and a half years as of June 30, 2026, which is long enough for most failures to appear. Later cohorts are shown separately and labelled immature.

Where do the numbers come from?

Every figure is computed from the SBA's public 7(a) and 504 FOIA loan files, as of June 30, 2026, downloaded from data.sba.gov. The methodology page lists the exact files, the fields used, and the franchise names matched to Primrose Schools. Nothing is estimated or modelled.

How current is this?

SBA republishes the files quarterly, about a month after each quarter closes. This page was generated on September 3, 2026 from the June 30, 2026 files and is regenerated when SBA publishes the next quarter.

Method, in brief

Failure rate = loans with status charged off divided by loans with status charged off or paid in full, for loans approved FY2010-2019. Loans still open are excluded from the denominator because their outcome is unknown; cancelled and undisbursed loans are excluded because no money moved. The franchise-wide benchmark uses the same formula over every loan in the SBA files that carries a franchise code (39,850 resolved loans). Loans were matched to Primrose Schools by the SBA FranchiseName field, covering these spellings: PRIMROSE SCHOOLS (584); PRIMROSE SCHOOL (DAYCARE) (290). Full detail on the methodology page.

A charge-off is a loan outcome reported by the lender to SBA, not a statement about the franchisor. Units financed without SBA loans are not represented. Small cohorts are noisy: a rate built on fewer than 30 resolved loans is labelled as such and not banded. Missing values are shown as "Not available", never as zero.

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