Franchise Risk Ledger

Franchise failure rates by brand, from SBA loan defaults

For every franchise below, the share of SBA-guaranteed loans to its franchisees that ended in charge-off, computed from the SBA's public 7(a) and 504 loan files. This is the only brand-level failure signal built from government loan records rather than franchisor disclosures. 50 brands covered so far, ranked by SBA loan volume since fiscal 2010. Data as of June 30, 2026.

175,492franchise-coded SBA loan records analysed
9.5%franchise-wide charge-off rate, loans approved FY2010-2019
7.4%non-franchise SBA loans, same cohorts
50brand reports available
BrandVerdictCharge-off rate
resolved loans, FY2010-2019
vs franchise-wideLoans since FY2010DisbursedCharged off
Subway
Food: sandwiches
Below average7.3%0.77x1,995$466.5 million99
The UPS Store
Business services
Low0.7%0.07x1,642$436.5 million5
Anytime Fitness
Fitness
Elevated12.2%1.28x1,135$456.3 million80
Quality Inn
Hotels
Low3.0%0.31x990$2.09 billion12
Dairy Queen
Food: quick service
Low2.7%0.29x981$536.4 million13
Jimmy John's
Food: sandwiches
Below average6.8%0.72x884$386.9 million40
Comfort Inn & Suites
Hotels
Low3.0%0.31x843$2.10 billion10
Super 8
Hotels
Low3.0%0.31x822$1.27 billion10
Ace Hardware
Retail
Below average6.0%0.62x810$597.6 million18
Days Inn
Hotels
Low2.9%0.31x810$1.47 billion11
Best Western
Hotels
Low2.9%0.31x778$1.76 billion9
Culver's
Food: quick service
Low0.0%0.00x737$812.3 million0
The Goddard School
Child care / education
Low2.8%0.29x700$1.13 billion6
Primrose Schools
Child care / education
Low0.4%0.04x661$1.30 billion1
Servpro
Restoration / home services
Low4.4%0.46x654$316.2 million17
Sport Clips
Hair / beauty
Below average5.9%0.62x640$157.5 million30
Firehouse Subs
Food: sandwiches
Typical8.3%0.87x617$180.7 million34
Dunkin'
Food: beverages
Low1.3%0.13x575$344.5 million5
Little Caesars
Food: pizza
Below average6.1%0.64x566$234.3 million24
Domino's Pizza
Food: pizza
Low1.3%0.14x553$286.1 million5
Motel 6
Hotels
Low3.2%0.34x551$1.13 billion6
Jersey Mike's
Food: sandwiches
Low2.2%0.23x546$187.5 million5
Tropical Smoothie Cafe
Food: beverages
Low3.0%0.32x540$187.0 million6
HOTWORX
Fitness
Not enough resolved loanstoo few matured534$168.5 million2
Kiddie Academy
Child care / education
Low4.1%0.43x509$654.9 million7
Marco's Pizza
Food: pizza
Below average7.2%0.76x484$161.8 million19
Orangetheory Fitness
Fitness
Low1.6%0.17x465$237.0 million5
La Quinta
Hotels
Low3.8%0.40x461$1.29 billion5
Holiday Inn Express
Hotels
Low0.0%0.00x454$1.14 billion0
Smoothie King
Food: beverages
Low3.8%0.40x443$136.2 million9
Red Roof Inn
Hotels
Low1.1%0.12x435$878.6 million2
Econo Lodge
Hotels
Low1.6%0.17x433$592.7 million4
Home Instead
Senior care
Low1.6%0.17x411$243.7 million3
Massage Envy
Health / wellness
Typical10.3%1.08x393$185.7 million31
European Wax Center
Hair / beauty
Low2.6%0.27x388$138.8 million7
Hampton by Hilton
Hotels
Low2.3%0.24x386$1.00 billion3
The Learning Experience
Child care / education
Below average7.4%0.78x377$245.6 million8
FASTSIGNS
Business services
Below average7.6%0.80x361$129.1 million12
Budget Blinds
Home services
Below average6.5%0.68x355$117.7 million9
Scooter's Coffee
Food: beverages
Not enough resolved loanstoo few matured347$261.4 million2
Cold Stone Creamery
Food: dessert
Low2.0%0.21x338$92.7 million3
Baymont
Hotels
Below average4.9%0.52x329$681.8 million6
Dickey's Barbecue Pit
Food: quick service
High29.7%3.12x326$91.9 million67
Nothing Bundt Cakes
Food: bakery
Low0.0%0.00x325$144.3 million0
Meineke
Automotive
High22.4%2.35x317$123.2 million38
Holiday Inn
Hotels
Low4.2%0.44x314$784.5 million6
Naturals2Go
Vending
High25.0%2.62x311$37.6 million9
Crumbl
Food: bakery
Not enough resolved loanstoo few matured307$167.3 million0
Great Clips
Hair / beauty
Low2.3%0.24x303$87.8 million6
Edible Arrangements
Food: gifts
Elevated13.6%1.43x302$64.1 million28

Charge-off rate = loans charged off ÷ (charged off + paid in full), for loans approved FY2010-2019, the cohorts old enough to have resolved. Brands with fewer than 30 resolved loans in those cohorts are not banded. Full definitions on the methodology page.

What a report contains

Each brand page shows the verdict, the rate by approval year, the volume trend, and the top states free. The $49 report adds the loan-level file (every SBA loan to that brand's franchisees, with borrower, lender, amount, status and charge-off amount), the full lender and state tables, the largest charge-offs by name, and time-to-failure figures, as a PDF plus CSV. See the sample report.